投資週記 2024年6月15日 通胀降温推动标指和纳指本周上涨
投資週記 2024年6月15日 通胀降温推动标指和纳指本周上涨
*本網頁屬個人博客，一切言論純粹是表達本人的個人意見或經驗分享，無論在任何情況下，不應被視為投資建議，也不構成要約、招攬、邀請、誘使、建議或推薦， 本人亦無法保證部落格內容的真實性和完整性。 讀者務請運用個人獨立思考能力自行求證和分析, 讀者一切的投資決定以及該投資決定引致的收益或損失，概與本人無涉。
美国股市周五保持坚挺。纳指上涨0.1%，创下新高。标普500指数本周涨幅达到1.6%。纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.1%，创下新高，本周涨幅达到3.2%。标普500指数从创纪录水平下滑，但本周涨幅达到1.6%。道琼斯指数也出现下滑，本周下跌0.5%。
投资者抛售欧洲股票，抢购更安全的政府债券，因为法国的政治动荡引发了对欧盟凝聚力的担忧。欧洲斯托克600指数本周下跌2.4%，为去年10月以来表现最弱的一周。
黄金期货周五上涨1.4%，报收于每盎司2,331.40美元。美国原油期货周五报收于每桶78.45美元，本周上涨3.9%。
在债券市场，10年期美国国债收益率从周二的4.403% 降至4.294%。美元走软，华尔街日报美元指数显示美元兑一篮子货币下跌。
Boardcom stock is keeping rise double every year recently.
But, this week, it rose 23%, USD 325 per share.
A golden week of Boardcom, replicating the success factor of Nvidia, it will split the stock 10-for-1.
is it a right time to buy? see my analysis about Boardcom few days ago.
Below is from Motley Fool:
Broadcom shares have soared well past $1,000 in recent times.
The artificial intelligence (AI) boom has been a boon to technology companies and those who invest in them in recent times. Players that develop tools or equipment to power AI projects have climbed the most, often in the triple or quadruple digits over the period of a few years. That's because AI customers have flocked to these companies, driving their earnings higher too.
Broadcom (AVGO 3.34%) is one of these AI stars. The semiconductor and infrastructure software company saw earnings take off as AI development gathered momentum, and that movement has continued. In the most recent quarter, revenue soared in the double digits, and the company predicted full-year revenue of $51 billion -- that's 42% higher than last year.
Broadcom's shares have reflected this success, soaring nearly 500% in five years, and as of late last year, they surpassed $1,000 and continued advancing. But the per-share price won't be so high for long. Following the move of fellow AI giant Nvidia, Broadcom this week announced a 10-for-1 stock split, scheduled for next month.
How Broadcom's stock split will unfold
First, a little bit about stock splits in general and how the Broadcom operation will unfold. Stock splits lower the price of each individual share through the issuance of more shares to current holders. But these operations don't change the market value of the company or the value of your holding -- so they don't change anything fundamental, and instead are more of a mechanical operation.
Companies generally launch these operations after they've done well and their stock price has climbed considerably -- and the move is meant to make their stock more accessible to a broader range of investors. Broadcom even cited this as the reason for its decision, saying the split will help employees and investors more easily buy the stock.
As mentioned, Broadcom is launching a 10-for-1 split, meaning if you own one share as of the July 11 market close, you'll be issued nine additional shares after the July 12 market close. The stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis when the market opens on July 15. Using today's price of $1,678 as a guide, the new price after market open would be around $167.
Investors welcomed Broadcom's stock split announcement, pushing the shares to a 12% gain in one trading session. The market generally likes stock splits for two reasons: They suggest a company is confident about the future, and as noted, these operations make it easier for more people to invest in the stock.
Is Broadcom a buy right now?
Now let's get back to our question: Following this news, is it time to buy Broadcom shares? Since stock splits are mechanical moves, not catalysts for stock performance, you shouldn't buy Broadcom just because it's planning a stock split.
But here's why you should consider buying shares of the company. Broadcom has been one of the winners of the AI boom so far, and there's reason to believe this will continue. The company makes thousands of products used everywhere from data centers to your smartphone -- more than 99% of Internet traffic passes through a Broadcom product or service.
Broadcom has a solid earnings track record, with revenue and profit rising over the past decade.And today, Broadcom's acquisition of VMware, a cloud software company, and AI demand are adding significantly to growth. Including VMware's contribution, revenue soared 43% in the most recent quarter to $12.5 billion.
And excluding WMware, revenue climbed 12% thanks to AI demand. AI customers flocked to Broadcom for AI networking and custom accelerators, and AI revenue soared 280% year over year to $3.1 billion. Right now, seven of the eight biggest AI clusters out there are using Broadcom Ethernet systems, and Broadcom predicts that next year all large-scale projects will be on Ethernet.
It's also important to remember we're in the early days of the AI growth story, with analysts predicting an AI market of more than $1 trillion by 2030. A leader like Broadcom clearly stands to benefit as demand continues, and that's why the shares look very reasonably priced at 34x forward earnings estimates.
All of this means you don't have to wait for the stock split to get in on this exciting long-term AI growth story: Broadcom makes a fantastic buy right now.
Below is from AI analysis:
Analysis of Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Stock Performance and Investment Strategy
Recent Financial Performance
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) has demonstrated impressive financial performance in recent quarters, driven by its strategic acquisitions and burgeoning demand in the AI sector. In the most recent quarter ending June 12, 2024, Broadcom reported a 43% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $12.49 billion, significantly bolstered by its acquisition of VMware and the robust demand for AI networking and custom accelerators. Excluding VMware, revenue grew by 12%, with AI-related revenue alone soaring 280% year-over-year to $3.1 billion (Stock Analysis) (MarketBeat).
Stock Performance
Broadcom's stock has seen substantial growth in 2024. Year-to-date, AVGO stock has surged by 55.43%, reflecting investor confidence in its strategic direction and market position. Over the past year, the stock has nearly doubled, showcasing a 96.40% increase. This upward trajectory is supported by strong earnings and optimistic future projections, particularly in the AI and semiconductor sectors (MarketBeat) (MarketBeat).
Technical Analysis
Technically, AVGO has shown strong momentum, recently trading at $1,735.04 as of June 14, 2024. The stock experienced a notable 20.45% increase over the past five days and a 40.43% rise over the last three months. These gains highlight a robust bullish trend, supported by high trading volumes and consistent upward price movements (MarketBeat).
Investment Strategy
Buy Recommendation: Given Broadcom's strategic position in the AI and semiconductor markets, combined with its recent financial performance, AVGO is considered a strong buy. The company's extensive portfolio and technological advancements position it well to capitalize on the anticipated growth in AI, projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2030.
Targeted Buy Price: Investors looking to capitalize on Broadcom's potential should consider entering at current levels around $1,735.04. While analysts have set a 12-month price target of $1,733.00, this slight downside reflects conservative estimates. The stock’s potential upside, driven by continued AI demand and successful integration of VMware, suggests higher long-term gains (Stock Analysis) (MarketBeat).
Sell Strategy: Investors should monitor Broadcom's earnings reports and market conditions closely. Any significant deviations from expected growth, particularly in AI-related revenue, or adverse macroeconomic factors, could warrant a reevaluation. Setting a stop-loss order around 10% below the purchase price may help mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion
Broadcom's strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and leading position in the AI and semiconductor industries make AVGO an attractive investment. With a solid growth outlook and favorable technical indicators, Broadcom presents a compelling buy opportunity for investors seeking exposure to high-growth tech sectors.
For detailed financial data and further analysis, you can refer to the latest updates from reliable sources such as MarketBeat and Stock Analysis.
SO....
it is a great week this week, just to record it
14/6/2024 Win: 1.2.94
*本網頁屬個人博客，一切言論純粹是表達本人的個人意見或經驗分享，無論在任何情況下，不應被視為投資建議，也不構成要約、招攬、邀請、誘使、建議或推薦， 本人亦無法保證部落格內容的真實性和完整性。 讀者務請運用個人獨立思考能力自行求證和分析, 讀者一切的投資決定以及該投資決定引致的收益或損失，概與本人無涉。
道瓊斯指數 跌57.61點或0.15%，報38,589.49點。
標普500指數 跌2.10點或0.04%，報5,431.64點。
納斯達克指數 升21.32點或0.12%，報17,688.88點。
紐約6月期油 收報78.49美元一桶，跌0.13美元或0.17%。
紐約6月期金 收報2,348.4元一盎司，升30.4美元或1.31%。
美國10年期國債息率 收報4.213厘，跌2.5點子。
美国股市周五保持坚挺。纳指上涨0.1%，创下新高。标普500指数本周涨幅达到1.6%。纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.1%，创下新高，本周涨幅达到3.2%。标普500指数从创纪录水平下滑，但本周涨幅达到1.6%。道琼斯指数也出现下滑，本周下跌0.5%。
投资者抛售欧洲股票，抢购更安全的政府债券，因为法国的政治动荡引发了对欧盟凝聚力的担忧。欧洲斯托克600指数本周下跌2.4%，为去年10月以来表现最弱的一周。
黄金期货周五上涨1.4%，报收于每盎司2,331.40美元。美国原油期货周五报收于每桶78.45美元，本周上涨3.9%。
在债券市场，10年期美国国债收益率从周二的4.403% 降至4.294%。美元走软，华尔街日报美元指数显示美元兑一篮子货币下跌。
美國6月密西根消費者信心初值意外降至65.6創七個月新低，美股3大指數收市個別發展，道瓊斯指數連跌4日，美國6月密歇根消費者信心初值創7個月低位。但納斯達克指數連續5日創收市新高，延續近期由人工智能概念股和大型科技股推動的升勢。 道指收市報38589點。納指收報17688點，標準普爾500指數報5431點，跌2點，結束連續4日升勢。 晶片股造好，博通高收3.3%。Nvidia升近1.8%，收報131.88美元，創收市新高。軟件商Adobe上調業績展望，股價急升逾14%收市。 大型科技股個別發展，微軟微升0.2%，連升5日。Alphabet升0.9%，但蘋果跌0.8%。Tesla股東通過行政總裁馬斯克的薪酬方案和遷冊計劃，股價低收2.4%。
全周計，標普500指數及納指分別累漲1.6%及3.2%；道指則跌約0.5%。 Adobe(ADBE.US)次季績佳兼上調全年盈測，股價飆14.5%。博通收市升3.3%，本周累計升23%，創歷史上最大單周漲幅。
摩根大通首席全球策略師David Kelly及其團隊在年中展望報告中指出，雖然標普500指數自1月份以來已實現兩位數回報，但在堅實的盈利基礎，加上聯儲貨幣緊縮政策的結束以及經濟的強勁表現的情況下，市場增長可能更趨穩健而非急促，美股在未來數月仍然向好。
美國芝加哥聯儲主席Goolsbee表示，美國5月CPI數據「非常不錯」，但僅僅是一個月的數據而已。如果後續更多報告也能像5月CPI數據那樣，將有助加強對通脹取得更多進展的信心。
美國克利夫蘭聯儲主席Mester表示，希望再獲得類似（5月CPI數據）的幾份通脹數據，但恐怕美國經濟不到2026年無法實現2%的通脹目標。另外，她希望通脹回落的同時可以保持一個健康的就業市場。隨著通脹回落，兩個職責（維持物價穩定和實現充分就業）都非常重要。
數據方面，據密西根大學調查初步估計， 6月份美國消費者信心指數跌至65.6，遠低於市場預期的72，為11月以來的最低水平，連續第三個月下降。由於對高物價和收入下降的擔憂略有上升，個人財務評估有所下降。整體而言，消費者認為自5月以來經濟變化不大。
美國勞工統計局公布，5 月進口價格指數意外下滑 0.4%，為去年 12 月以來首次降，低於市場預期的 0%，更遠不及 4 月前值 0.9%；按年來看成長 1.1%，與 4 月前值持平。不包括燃料和食品在內的核心進口價格在5 月下降 0.2%，4 月時增長 0.6%；按年來看，5 月核心進口價格增長 0.1%。數據反映通脹有放緩趨勢。
中国5月份金融数据要点
新增贷款: 同比下降40%至9488亿元人民币，低于预期，反映实际信贷需求依然疲软。
细分:
个人信贷需求偏低，住户贷款增加757亿元，中长期贷款升514亿元。
企业贷款增7400亿元，中长期贷款表现较好，升5000亿元。
社会融资规模: 增加2.07万亿元，扭转4月份跌势，其中：
政府债券净融资达1.23万亿元，占总量超过一半。
企业债券净融资313亿元。
对实体经济发放的人民币贷款升8157亿元。
M2增速: 由4月的7.2%放缓至5%，创纪录新低。
M1增速: 同比下降4.2%，连续两个月负数，也创纪录新低。
原因分析:
实际需求不足。
房地产市场调整，居民消费信心疲乏。
禁止“手工补息”令存款吸引力下降，资金转入理财产品等。
发行特别国债吸引企业存款流向债市。
未来展望:
政策将继续支持实体经济，但再降息面临内外因素制约。
盘活资金更有效支持实体经济的方向不變，信貸總量和增速应该会较之前回落。
金融机构要积极求变，寻找有效需求，加大对重点领域和薄弱環節的支援。
融資結構和經濟結構轉型升級料更為匹配。
Apple WWDC 2024 重點：
專注於人工智慧和軟體：
蘋果推出了一套名為「Apple Intelligence」的新人工智慧功能套件，該功能利用裝置上的處理和用戶資料隱私。
該系統旨在為 iPhone、iPad 和 Mac 等各種 Apple 裝置提供個人化的用戶體驗。
iOS 18 更新：
專注於透過改進的鎖定螢幕自訂和新小部件等功能增強使用者體驗。
預計健康追蹤能力將加強。
其他平台更新：
TVOS 18 的更新引入了「InSight」等功能，可帶來更具劇院感的體驗，並改進了 Apple Fitness+ 整合。
watchOS 11 的更新包括新的健康功能，例如運動員的「訓練負荷」和用於快速查看健康指標的「Vitals 應用程式」。
其他公告：
Siri 收到了更新，為 AirPods 用戶提供了新的手勢控制。
蘋果展示了一款混合實境耳機，重點是透過眼球運動、手勢和語音命令進行的用戶互動。
Analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) Stock and Investment Strategy
Current Market Position and Outlook
Apple Inc. continues to assert its dominance in the tech sector, demonstrated by strong market performance and promising growth prospects. The recent WWDC 2024 event further solidified this position with groundbreaking announcements that have positively influenced the company's stock.
Key Catalysts
AI Integration and Product Innovation:
- At WWDC 2024, Apple introduced significant AI advancements across its product line. The new iOS 18, macOS 15 Sequoia, and updates to Siri (now rebranded as Apple Intelligence) integrate advanced AI features, including AI-generated emojis, enhanced photo retouching, and improved voice memo transcriptions. These innovations are set to stimulate a major upgrade cycle for the upcoming iPhone 16, driving substantial sales growth (Newsx) (MacRumors).
Strong Financial Performance:
- Apple's financial outlook remains robust. The company is expected to report solid Q2 earnings, with projections of $1.51 EPS and $90.83 billion in revenue. Analysts are optimistic about Apple’s fiscal year 2025, particularly due to the anticipated demand for AI-capable hardware (MacRumors) (TechRadar).
Strategic Initiatives and Supply Chain Resilience:
- Apple’s proactive supply chain management is evident from sales tracking ahead of consensus by approximately 2%, as per channel checks in Taiwan. This indicates strong management and the ability to meet market demand effectively (TechRadar).
Capital Return Program:
- Apple’s ongoing capital return program, which includes potential new buyback authorizations, continues to enhance investor confidence and support stock prices (MacRumors).
Competitive Landscape
While Microsoft, under Satya Nadella, is aggressively expanding its AI capabilities, Apple’s strategic moves in AI and its robust ecosystem place it in a formidable competitive position. The integration of advanced AI features into consumer products ensures that Apple remains at the forefront of the tech industry amidst growing competition from tech giants like Microsoft and Nvidia (MacRumors) (Newsx).
Investment Strategy
Based on the current analysis, Apple Inc. remains a strong buy.
Capitalizing on AI Integration:
- Invest ahead of the upcoming product releases and AI advancements. The successful integration of AI features is expected to drive significant stock appreciation.
Long-Term Holding:
- Given Apple’s solid financials, continuous innovation, and strong market position, holding the stock long-term is likely to yield substantial returns. Apple’s commitment to integrating advanced technologies into its products suggests continued growth and market leadership.
Periodic Review:
- Investors should periodically review Apple’s financial health and product announcements to adjust their strategies accordingly. The tech landscape is rapidly evolving, and staying informed about Apple’s strategic moves is crucial.
Diversification:
- While Apple is a strong performer, diversification remains essential. Balancing investments across different sectors can mitigate risks associated with tech market volatility.
Conclusion
Apple’s strategic advancements in AI, robust financial health, and strong market position make it a highly attractive investment. The recent WWDC 2024 announcements and the upcoming iPhone 16 launch are critical events that could significantly enhance Apple’s stock performance in the near term. Therefore, incorporating Apple stock into a well-diversified portfolio can be a prudent investment decision for sustained growth.
This analysis leverages insights from multiple sources including Markets Insider and Wallmine, ensuring a comprehensive view on Apple Inc. and its stock outlook.
BOARDCOM (AVGO)
Boardcom stock is keeping rise double every year recently.
But, this week, it rose 23%, USD 325 per share.
A golden week of Boardcom, replicating the success factor of Nvidia, it will split the stock 10-for-1.
is it a right time to buy? see my analysis about Boardcom few days ago.
Below is from Motley Fool:
Broadcom shares have soared well past $1,000 in recent times.
The artificial intelligence (AI) boom has been a boon to technology companies and those who invest in them in recent times. Players that develop tools or equipment to power AI projects have climbed the most, often in the triple or quadruple digits over the period of a few years. That's because AI customers have flocked to these companies, driving their earnings higher too.
Broadcom (AVGO 3.34%) is one of these AI stars. The semiconductor and infrastructure software company saw earnings take off as AI development gathered momentum, and that movement has continued. In the most recent quarter, revenue soared in the double digits, and the company predicted full-year revenue of $51 billion -- that's 42% higher than last year.
Broadcom's shares have reflected this success, soaring nearly 500% in five years, and as of late last year, they surpassed $1,000 and continued advancing. But the per-share price won't be so high for long. Following the move of fellow AI giant Nvidia, Broadcom this week announced a 10-for-1 stock split, scheduled for next month.
How Broadcom's stock split will unfold
First, a little bit about stock splits in general and how the Broadcom operation will unfold. Stock splits lower the price of each individual share through the issuance of more shares to current holders. But these operations don't change the market value of the company or the value of your holding -- so they don't change anything fundamental, and instead are more of a mechanical operation.
Companies generally launch these operations after they've done well and their stock price has climbed considerably -- and the move is meant to make their stock more accessible to a broader range of investors. Broadcom even cited this as the reason for its decision, saying the split will help employees and investors more easily buy the stock.
As mentioned, Broadcom is launching a 10-for-1 split, meaning if you own one share as of the July 11 market close, you'll be issued nine additional shares after the July 12 market close. The stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis when the market opens on July 15. Using today's price of $1,678 as a guide, the new price after market open would be around $167.
Investors welcomed Broadcom's stock split announcement, pushing the shares to a 12% gain in one trading session. The market generally likes stock splits for two reasons: They suggest a company is confident about the future, and as noted, these operations make it easier for more people to invest in the stock.
Is Broadcom a buy right now?
Now let's get back to our question: Following this news, is it time to buy Broadcom shares? Since stock splits are mechanical moves, not catalysts for stock performance, you shouldn't buy Broadcom just because it's planning a stock split.
But here's why you should consider buying shares of the company. Broadcom has been one of the winners of the AI boom so far, and there's reason to believe this will continue. The company makes thousands of products used everywhere from data centers to your smartphone -- more than 99% of Internet traffic passes through a Broadcom product or service.
Broadcom has a solid earnings track record, with revenue and profit rising over the past decade.And today, Broadcom's acquisition of VMware, a cloud software company, and AI demand are adding significantly to growth. Including VMware's contribution, revenue soared 43% in the most recent quarter to $12.5 billion.
And excluding WMware, revenue climbed 12% thanks to AI demand. AI customers flocked to Broadcom for AI networking and custom accelerators, and AI revenue soared 280% year over year to $3.1 billion. Right now, seven of the eight biggest AI clusters out there are using Broadcom Ethernet systems, and Broadcom predicts that next year all large-scale projects will be on Ethernet.
It's also important to remember we're in the early days of the AI growth story, with analysts predicting an AI market of more than $1 trillion by 2030. A leader like Broadcom clearly stands to benefit as demand continues, and that's why the shares look very reasonably priced at 34x forward earnings estimates.
All of this means you don't have to wait for the stock split to get in on this exciting long-term AI growth story: Broadcom makes a fantastic buy right now.
Below is from AI analysis:
Analysis of Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Stock Performance and Investment Strategy
Recent Financial Performance
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) has demonstrated impressive financial performance in recent quarters, driven by its strategic acquisitions and burgeoning demand in the AI sector. In the most recent quarter ending June 12, 2024, Broadcom reported a 43% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $12.49 billion, significantly bolstered by its acquisition of VMware and the robust demand for AI networking and custom accelerators. Excluding VMware, revenue grew by 12%, with AI-related revenue alone soaring 280% year-over-year to $3.1 billion (Stock Analysis) (MarketBeat).
Stock Performance
Broadcom's stock has seen substantial growth in 2024. Year-to-date, AVGO stock has surged by 55.43%, reflecting investor confidence in its strategic direction and market position. Over the past year, the stock has nearly doubled, showcasing a 96.40% increase. This upward trajectory is supported by strong earnings and optimistic future projections, particularly in the AI and semiconductor sectors (MarketBeat) (MarketBeat).
Technical Analysis
Technically, AVGO has shown strong momentum, recently trading at $1,735.04 as of June 14, 2024. The stock experienced a notable 20.45% increase over the past five days and a 40.43% rise over the last three months. These gains highlight a robust bullish trend, supported by high trading volumes and consistent upward price movements (MarketBeat).
Investment Strategy
Buy Recommendation: Given Broadcom's strategic position in the AI and semiconductor markets, combined with its recent financial performance, AVGO is considered a strong buy. The company's extensive portfolio and technological advancements position it well to capitalize on the anticipated growth in AI, projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2030.
Targeted Buy Price: Investors looking to capitalize on Broadcom's potential should consider entering at current levels around $1,735.04. While analysts have set a 12-month price target of $1,733.00, this slight downside reflects conservative estimates. The stock’s potential upside, driven by continued AI demand and successful integration of VMware, suggests higher long-term gains (Stock Analysis) (MarketBeat).
Sell Strategy: Investors should monitor Broadcom's earnings reports and market conditions closely. Any significant deviations from expected growth, particularly in AI-related revenue, or adverse macroeconomic factors, could warrant a reevaluation. Setting a stop-loss order around 10% below the purchase price may help mitigate potential losses.
Conclusion
Broadcom's strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and leading position in the AI and semiconductor industries make AVGO an attractive investment. With a solid growth outlook and favorable technical indicators, Broadcom presents a compelling buy opportunity for investors seeking exposure to high-growth tech sectors.
For detailed financial data and further analysis, you can refer to the latest updates from reliable sources such as MarketBeat and Stock Analysis.
SO....
it is a great week this week, just to record it
14/6/2024 Win: 1.2.94