投資週記 2025年8月15日 美國股市摘要
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8月15日(星期五)市况
l 道瓊斯指數 升34.86點或0.02%,報44,946.12點。總結一周,道指升1.75%。
l 標普500指數 跌18.74點或0.29%,報6,449.80點。全星期升0.93%。
l 納斯達克指數 跌87.69點或0.40%,報21,622.98點。本周升0.79%。
l 紐約9月期油 收報62.80美元一桶,跌1.16美元或1.8%。一星期跌1.7%。
l 紐約12月期金 收報3,382.6元一盎司,跌0.6美元或不足0.1%。全周跌3.1%。
l 比特幣 截至美東時間下午5時報117,421.71元,跌572.02美元或0.48%。本星期升0.74%。
l 美國10年期國債息率 收報4.328厘,升3.5點子。一周升4.3點子。
🏦 Macro & Consumer Trends
Retail Sales: July retail sales rose 0.5% month-over-month, slightly below economists’ forecast of 0.6%. Despite the miss, it marks a steady rebound after spring’s consumer slowdown.
Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan’s index fell to 58.6 in early August, down from 61.7 in July and well below expectations of 62. This marks the first decline in four months, driven by inflation worries and deteriorating conditions for durable goods purchases.
Inflation Expectations: One-year inflation expectations surged from 4.5% to 4.9%, raising concerns about future price pressures.
📊 Wall Street Recap
Major Indexes:
S&P 500: +2.5% this week
Nasdaq: +4%, hitting fresh highs
Dow Jones: Closed higher despite broader weakness, buoyed by UnitedHealth’s rally
Financials: Broadly declined amid signs of weakening consumer demand and sentiment.
Palantir (PLTR): Surged after reporting $1B+ in quarterly revenue, now among the top 25 S&P 500 holdings
Trump’s Tariff Threats: Announced potential semiconductor tariffs up to 300%, triggering a sell-off in chip stocks. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 2.26%.
UnitedHealth (UNH): Skyrocketed 12%, its biggest gain in five years, after Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway revealed a $1.57B stake—lifting the Dow near record highs.
Intel (INTC): Rose nearly 3% Friday, up 10.5% over two days amid reports the U.S. government may invest via CHIPS Act funding.
Sunrun (RUN): Surged 32.8% after strong earnings and favorable solar tax credit guidance.
💻 Semiconductor & Tech Stocks
Chip Stocks Slump:
Micron (MU): -3%
AMD & Broadcom: Down over 1%
Nvidia: Slightly weaker
Trump Tariff Threat: President Trump announced plans to impose semiconductor tariffs in the next two weeks, suggesting rates could reach 200%–300%, sparking market anxiety.
Applied Materials (AMAT): Plunged ~14% after issuing cautious guidance, citing weak China demand and tariff-related risks.
Cisco (CSCO): Dropped 4.4% due to disappointing forward outlook.
Intel (INTC): Defied the trend, rising on reports that the Trump administration may use CHIPS Act funds to invest in the company.
🔥 Stock Highlights
Editas Medicine (EDIT): +34% on strong earnings and pipeline optimism
Opendoor (OPEN): +81% amid meme stock buzz and leadership change
American Airlines (AAL): +10% after Spirit Airlines’ warning hinted at reduced competition
ZIM Shipping (ZIM): Brief spike on buyout rumors
🧠 Market Sentiment & Outlook
AI Momentum: Nvidia, Meta, and Microsoft continue to drive bullish sentiment.
Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s aggressive trade stance is rattling tech and manufacturing sectors.
IPO Watch: Anticipation builds around the Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac IPO, potentially topping $30B.