投資週記 2025年8月9日 美國股市摘要
投資週記 2025年8月9日 美國股市摘要
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l 道瓊斯指數 升206.97點或0.47%，報44,175.61點。總結本周，道指升1.35%。
l 標普500指數 升49.45點或0.78%，報6,389.45點。全星期升2.43%。
l 納斯達克指數 升207.32點或0.98%，報21,450.02點。一周升3.87%。
l 紐約9月期油 收報63.88美元一桶，無升跌。本星期跌5.1%。
l 紐約12月期金 收報3,491.3美元一盎司，升37.6美元或1.1%。全周升2.7%。
l 比特幣 截至美東時間下午4時半報116,558.59元，跌904.08美元或0.77%。一星期升2.3%。
l 美國10年期國債息率 收報4.285厘，升4.1點子。本周升6.5點子。
This week, Wall Street rode a wave of optimism as geopolitical tensions eased and investors embraced risk-on sentiment. The Nasdaq surged to a fresh record high, Apple posted its best weekly gain since July 2020, and commodities like oil and gold saw dramatic swings amid conflicting headlines.
🚀 Market Highlights
Nasdaq Composite: Closed at 21,450.02 (+0.98% daily, +3.87% weekly)
S&P 500: Ended at 6,389.45 (+0.78% daily, +2.43% weekly)
Dow Jones: Finished at 44,175.61 (+0.47% daily, +1.35% weekly)
Russell 2000: Gained 0.17% to 2,218.42 (+2.38% weekly)
VIX (Volatility Index): Dropped 8.39% to 15.18, plunging 25.52% for the week
The rally was fueled by reports of potential ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, combined with growing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Treasury yields rose across the curve, with the 10-year yield up nearly 3.5 basis points.
🍏 Apple Leads Tech Surge
Apple shares jumped 4.2% on Friday, capping a 13.3% weekly gain—its strongest since July 2020. The company announced a $600 billion investment initiative following Trump’s re-election, and was granted exemptions from 100% chip import tariffs. While some analysts questioned the political motives behind the move, investors cheered the reduced supply chain risk.
Other tech giants followed suit:
| Company | Weekly Change |
|---|---|
| Tesla | +8.94% |
| +6.50% | |
| Nvidia | +5.19% |
| Meta | +2.57% |
| Amazon | +3.70% |
| Microsoft | −0.39% |
The “Magnificent 7” ETF rose 1.65% for the week.
🏦 Mortgage Giants Rally
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac soared over 20% after reports that the U.S. government may list them publicly by year-end. Currently traded OTC, the move could unlock significant value and liquidity.
💰 Fund Flows & Investor Sentiment
According to EPFR Global:
U.S. equities saw $28 billion in outflows
Money market funds attracted $107 billion, the largest inflow since January
Bank of America’s Michael Hartnett noted that investors are rotating out of equities amid fears that sweeping tariffs could dampen economic growth.
📉 Commodities Whiplash
Gold: Spiked over 2% intraday on tariff rumors, hitting a record high before plunging after the U.S. clarified no new duties
Oil: U.S. crude fell nearly 2.7% from daily highs on Russia-Ukraine ceasefire speculation
Ethereum: Rose 4.8%
Bitcoin: Declined modestly
🧠 Analyst Insights
Julian Emanuel of Evercore ISI observed that investor tolerance for earnings misses is shrinking. Companies that missed Q2 expectations saw an average 7.4% single-day drop, more than double the five-year average.
With markets hovering near record highs, expectations are “near perfection,” and any misstep could trigger sharp selloffs.
🗳️ Political & Fed Watch
Trump warned courts not to overturn his tariff policies, claiming it could “replay the Great Depression.” Meanwhile, the Fed succession shortlist expanded to include hawkish voices like James Bullard and Marc Sumerlin. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalam supported holding rates steady, citing persistent inflation gaps despite a balanced labor market.
📌 Investment Takeaways
Tech remains dominant, especially Apple and Nvidia, amid tariff exemptions and strong earnings
Mortgage sector could see upside if Fannie/Freddie IPO plans materialize
Commodities are volatile—stay nimble and hedge exposure
Money market funds are attracting capital, signaling caution
